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Is a Recession Coming in 2026? History Has Good and Bad News for Investors.

The U.S. economy is strong, but a valuation problem looms over the stock market.

Is a Recession Coming in 2026? History Has Good and Bad News for Investors.

Published September 20, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Anyone who is eager to know the answer to the question, "Will there be a recession this year?" is bound to feel frustrated and disappointed with the two most commonly given answers.

On the one hand, you'll hear, "Yes, a recession will likely come," which essentially means, "Recessions happen from time to time, and this bull market will wobble at some point." The other common answer, even less definite then first, leaves you more in the dark: "No one can predict what happens to the market -- your guess is as good as mine."

Details

Actually, both answers aren't wrong in a basic sense: Recessions happen, and nobody can predict the day they will arrive. But that doesn't mean we can't gather a general sense of where the market is heading, of whether the conditions for a recession are beginning to take shape, or if something entirely different is beginning to form. When we look at some common recession indicators, the picture today might look less ominous than investors think.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.