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The Trump Bull Market Is Near Its Tipping Point, According to More Than 150 Years of History

Bull markets aren't indefinite -- and the stock market rally under President Trump appears to be running on borrowed time.

The Trump Bull Market Is Near Its Tipping Point, According to More Than 150 Years of History

The Trump Bull Market Is Near Its Tipping Point, According to More Than 150 Years of History

Published June 20, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

From a purely statistical standpoint, Wall Street has loved having Donald Trump in the White House. During his first, non-consecutive term, the ageless Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI), benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and tech-inspired Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) rallied by 57%, 70%, and 142%, respectively.

While it's normal for the major stock indexes to rise under a sitting president, annualized gains observed under Trump are higher than most other presidents since the late 1890s.

Details

This outperformance has continued into the president's second term. Since Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20, 2025, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite have risen by 18%, 24%, and 32%, respectively. These gains have been powered by the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI), record S&P 500 share buybacks in 2025, and better-than-expected corporate earnings.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.