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The Stock Market's Best Quarter of the Year Is About to Start. The S&P 500 Has Risen in 34 of the Last 41.

The index has climbed in 34 of the last 41 fourth quarters. The seven misses are the part worth studying.

The Stock Market's Best Quarter of the Year Is About to Start. The S&P 500 Has Risen in 34 of the Last 41.

Published September 20, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday for the first time since 2023, and the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) finished that session around 7,550 -- still up about 10% for the year, but about 3% below the record high it set in mid-August.

In other words, investors head toward October with a fresh reason to worry. And yet the calendar is about to turn to what has historically been the market's best stretch of the year.

Details

Since 1985, the S&P 500 rose between the end of September and the end of December in 34 of 41 years, with an average fourth-quarter gain of about 4.4%. No other quarter matches it.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.