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The Stock Market Just Sent Its Most Confusing Signal in Years -- but History Is Clear on What Happens Next

The short term could be volatile, but history has promising news for investors.

The Stock Market Just Sent Its Most Confusing Signal in Years -- but History Is Clear on What Happens Next

Published July 14, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

The stock market just capped its most lucrative quarter in years, with the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) surging by more than 14% and 20%, respectively, between early April and the end of June. However, many investors aren't feeling the same optimism.

Consumer sentiment hit its lowest point ever in May, according to the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. While it increased slightly in June, it's still below levels seen during the financial crisis of 2008, the pandemic in 2020, and the bear market in 2022.

Details

This contradiction is unusual, as surging stock prices are typically paired with optimism around the future. According to a May 2026 poll from The Economist and YouGov, though, 63% of Americans believe the economy is worsening.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.