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The Stock Market Just Flashed a Warning Seen Only 5 Times Before. History Is Crystal Clear About What Happens Next (Hint: It's Not Good).

The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio measures stock market valuations over a long-term horizon.

The Stock Market Just Flashed a Warning Seen Only 5 Times Before. History Is Crystal Clear About What Happens Next (Hint: It's Not Good).

Published August 13, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

All three major U.S. stock indexes have climbed throughout 2026. As of Aug. 12, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has gained about 13%, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) have advanced 14% and 12%, respectively.

All three indexes trade near record levels even as the macro backdrop remains unsettled by stubborn inflation, a leadership transition at the Federal Reserve, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East centered on the Iran war.

Details

Resilient corporate earnings -- particularly those tied to artificial intelligence (AI) developers and infrastructure spending -- have managed to satisfy investors, pushing valuations higher despite these headwinds.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.