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The Stock Market Just Did Something for the 2nd Time in 100 Years, and History Says What Comes Next

The CAPE ratio just hit a level we've only seen once before -- right at the top of the dot-com bubble. But before you panic, consider the facts.

The Stock Market Just Did Something for the 2nd Time in 100 Years, and History Says What Comes Next

Published June 30, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

The CAPE ratio is flashing a warning that, in over a century of stock market history, has only shown up once before: near the top of the dot-com bubble.

With the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite indexes both near record highs, it stands to reason to ask, should I be worried? Here's what you need to know.

Details

CAPE stands for the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio. It's basically a smoothed-out version of the regular price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio -- a standard valuation metric for a stock -- but applied to the whole market. It takes the price of the S&P 500 and divides it by the average of its inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.