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The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Sign, but History Has Good News for Long-Term Investors

Stocks may be historically expensive but that's not necessarily a sell signal.

The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Sign, but History Has Good News for Long-Term Investors

Published September 29, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Two of the market's best-known valuation indicators are sending the same clear message: Stocks are expensive right now.

The Buffett indicator, which measures the total value of U.S. stocks against U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), is nearly 240%, the highest it's ever been. Keep in mind that in a past Forbes article, Warren Buffett said famously that investors were "playing with fire" when this ratio approached 200%.

Details

The Shiller CAPE ratio, which measures stock prices against inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years, currently clocks in at 41.5. The only time that figure has ever been higher was during the peak of the dot-com bubble.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.