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The S&P 500 Has Never Been Lower 12 Months After a Midterm Election. Not Once in 19 Tries. Here's Whether 2026 Could Finally Break That Streak.

Will the 20th time be the charm?

The S&P 500 Has Never Been Lower 12 Months After a Midterm Election. Not Once in 19 Tries. Here's Whether 2026 Could Finally Break That Streak.

Published October 5, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Midterm election years tend to be volatile periods for the stock market. This year has been no exception, even with the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) up around 13%.

However, midterm elections have historically been cathartic for the market. You might be surprised by this, but the S&P 500 has never been lower 12 months after a midterm election. But could that change after the 2026 vote?

Image source: Getty Images.

Details

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.