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The 1 Number That Would Change My Mind About Nvidia Stock

The AI chip giant has already told investors this figure is heading lower. How low is too low?

The 1 Number That Would Change My Mind About Nvidia Stock

Published October 10, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

I think Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is a buy. Its price-to-earnings ratio is around 15 using analysts' consensus estimate for its next fiscal year (ending January 2028). For a company whose revenue more than doubled year over year last quarter, that price looks fair to me.

But it pays to know beforehand what would change that view. Nvidia is worth about $5.8 trillion, with shares trading around $239 as I write, near their all-time high. Investors paying that much are relying on Nvidia to keep charging buyers a premium for its chips.

Details

There's one number Nvidia reports every quarter that I watch most closely: gross margin, or the share of revenue left after the direct cost of making what it sells. If it drops under 70% in a quarter with no one-time charge to explain it, I'd no longer call the stock a buy.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.