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SpaceX Has Nosedived 50% From Its All-Time High, and It May Realistically Lose Another 50% Before Its Valuation Makes Any Sense

History has a way of accurately forecasting the future on Wall Street.

SpaceX Has Nosedived 50% From Its All-Time High, and It May Realistically Lose Another 50% Before Its Valuation Makes Any Sense

Published July 28, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

On June 12, Elon Musk's artificial intelligence (AI) and space infrastructure conglomerate rewrote Wall Street's record books. Including the underwriters' overallotment, Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) (NASDAQ: SPCX) raised $85.7 billion and vaulted to a valuation of nearly $3 trillion just days after its initial public offering (IPO).

But this initial buzz has quickly faded. Since peaking at $225.64 per share on June 16, SpaceX shares have plunged roughly 50% to $113.37 (its after-hours closing price on July 24).

Details

Statistically, the average year-one max drawdown in technology-driven IPOs over the last 14 years is 55%, according to data from Truist Financial. Thus far, SpaceX is par for the course. However, history suggests that things may get considerably worse before they have any chance of turning around.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.