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Since 1871, the Stock Market Has Accomplished This Feat 6 Times, Including the Present -- and the Previous 5 Occurrences All Ended in Disaster

The minimum expected decline for Wall Street’s major stock indexes when this historical event occurs is 20%.

Since 1871, the Stock Market Has Accomplished This Feat 6 Times, Including the Present -- and the Previous 5 Occurrences All Ended in Disaster

Published September 20, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

With a little over three months left in 2026, it's shaping up as another stellar year for Wall Street and investors. Through the closing bell on Sept. 15, the time-tested Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and growth stock-dominated Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) had gained 8.4%, 10.8%, and 11.8%.

Wall Street's bull market, which'll reach its fourth full year next month, has been fueled by the evolution of artificial intelligence, better-than-expected corporate earnings, and favorable tax policy that led to record S&P 500 share buybacks last year.

Details

But as much as investors enjoy seeing green arrows in their portfolio, history shows bull markets aren't indefinite. Several headwinds are threatening to upend the stock market, including near-record-high outstanding margin debt, persistently elevated inflation, and rapidly rising U.S. debt.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.