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Nvidia's Latest Signal Points to Serious Downside Risk for Micron Before 2029 Is Over

Micron's near-term outlook remains strong, but Nvidia's push to use cheaper memory, rising competition, and Micron's aggressive capacity expansion could create longer-term risks for the stock.

Nvidia's Latest Signal Points to Serious Downside Risk for Micron Before 2029 Is Over

Published September 14, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) has gained more than 500% over the past year and trades at $975 at this writing. When a stock does that, the useful question stops being whether the business is good. It becomes: What would have to change for the story to break, and who gets to decide?

That decision sits with Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). Most of the discussion centers on a table in Nvidia's second-quarter commentary, where Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress disclosed that supply commitments jumped from $119 billion to $279 billion, tied to memory buying. That is a large number, and spending drops to almost nothing after fiscal 2029, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Details

Fair enough. But a purchase commitment is a plan, and plans get revised. In other words, Nvidia is betting heavily on future memory demand, but that spending isn't guaranteed to happen if its plans change.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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