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Inflation. The Iran War. A Hawkish Fed. Soaring Bond Yields. And Concerns About Artificial Intelligence. The Stock Market Faces Many Hurdles, But Only 1 Metric Truly Matters Right Now

The market has faced no shortage of obstacles this year.

Inflation. The Iran War. A Hawkish Fed. Soaring Bond Yields. And Concerns About Artificial Intelligence. The Stock Market Faces Many Hurdles, But Only 1 Metric Truly Matters Right Now

Published September 21, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Many investors are surprised that the broader benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has been so resilient this year.

After all, the market faces no shortage of concerns, whether it's the ongoing Iran war, which has led to high oil and gas prices, concerns about persistent inflation, a hawkish Federal Reserve, soaring bond yields, or broad concerns about artificial intelligence.

Details

Yet the S&P 500 is up nearly 12% this year (as of Sept. 19), and that's after two spectacular years in 2023 and 2024. While all the concerns mentioned above are valid and certainly influence markets, only one metric truly matters right now in determining whether the stock market will continue to move higher.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.