Capital DailyCapital Daily
Markets · Investing · Business
Capital DailyCapital Daily
Finance

How Likely Is it That the Stock Market Crashes Under President Donald Trump? 2 Historically Flawless Prediction Tools Offer a Blunt Answer.

History has a knack for foreshadowing what’s next for stocks.

How Likely Is it That the Stock Market Crashes Under President Donald Trump? 2 Historically Flawless Prediction Tools Offer a Blunt Answer.

Published October 10, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Outsize stock market returns have been a theme with President Donald Trump in the White House. The iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and innovation-driven Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) rallied 57%, 70%, and 142%, respectively, during his first non-consecutive term, and have gained 18%, 30%, and 40% since the start of his second term.

Trump's presidency has benefited from the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out, better-than-expected corporate earnings, and record S&P 500 share repurchases. The latter has been fueled by the president's flagship tax-and-spending law from his first term, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which permanently lowered the peak marginal corporate income tax rate to 21%.

Image source: Official White House Photo by Patrick B. Ruddy.

Details

Continue reading

Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

Related Articles

CD
Capital Daily Newsroom

Capital Daily covers markets, crypto and commodities for Asia & the Middle East — tier-1 desk research, AI-driven analysis, institutional-grade data. Tip our newsroom: [email protected]

Email the newsroom →
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.