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Here's the Biggest Risk Facing SpaceX (Hint: It's Not Another Failed Starship Launch)

The company might not produce positive free cash flow until 2035.

Here's the Biggest Risk Facing SpaceX (Hint: It's Not Another Failed Starship Launch)

Published July 23, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) had to abort its 13th Starship test flight after some of its engines failed to ignite. Starship is SpaceX's fully reusable super-heavy-lift vehicle, and once it's ready to operate commercially, it could significantly reduce the cost of putting payloads into space, such as Starlink satellites or orbital data center satellites. Getting it off the ground (pun intended) will be key to the company achieving revenue growth and earnings that meet the market's high expectations.

SpaceX will have another go at the Starship test launch, and many more tests and launches will come over the next few years. A single aborted launch does not significantly impact the company's long-term viability.

Details

The bigger risk to SpaceX and its investors involves what will happen if it successfully brings Starship into service: The company will need to raise massive amounts of capital over the better part of the next decade, even based on some of the most bullish outlooks for the business.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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