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Every Market Crash Warning Signal Is Flashing Red — and the S&P 500 Is Up 12% Anyway. History Says the Alarmists Are Wrong More Often Than You Think.

Even historically reliable market warning indicators can be wrong — or simply premature.

Every Market Crash Warning Signal Is Flashing Red — and the S&P 500 Is Up 12% Anyway. History Says the Alarmists Are Wrong More Often Than You Think.

Published September 30, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

Should investors be worried right now? If you consulted a Magic 8 Ball, it might respond: "Signs point to yes."

Practically every market crash warning signal is currently flashing red. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) continues to climb the proverbial "wall of worry," with the index up by a solid double-digit percentage so far this year.

Details

However, perhaps the best Magic 8 Ball answer to the question might be "ask again later." History shows that the most widely followed market crash warning signals are wrong more often than you think.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.